Abstract

A parsimonious search and matching model of the labor market with endogenous separation is embedded in a North-North intermediate goods trade framework. International product market integration leads to redistribution of market shares from ‘weak’ to ‘strong’ firms within an industry, implying chances and threats for firms at the same time, as firms are ex-ante unaware of their relative advantage over the competitor. Opening the economy will therefore increase the dispersion of potential revenues and consequently lead to higher labor market turnover, higher welfare and increased wage inequality, while the effect on employment is ambiguous. Ceteris paribus, the effects are qualitatively similar to decreasing employment protection in form of costly firing restrictions which prevent the economy from reaching a first best allocation. The positive welfare effects of opening to trade are decreasing in the level of firing costs. This can therefore lead to a substantial failure in reaping the benefits that could result from economic integration, by preventing labor reallocation. The main results are robust to the introduction of risk-averse workers.

Published in: IHS Economics Series Working Paper, 2024, 288.
Working paper